What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Il n'y a pas encore de discussion sur ce livre
Soyez le premier à en lancer une !
Dans ce recueil de 13 nouvelles, la jeune autrice mexicaine frappe fort mais juste
Une fiction historique glaçante et inoubliable, aux confins de l’Antarctique
Découvrez les derniers trésors littéraires de l'année !
"On n'est pas dans le futurisme, mais dans un drame bourgeois ou un thriller atmosphérique"
